MLBMon, Jul 6 · 11:46 PM

Brewers @ Cardinals

Pricing the Cardinals side, Kalshi contract vs. the devigged sportsbook consensus.

…

Kalshi ask

66¢

Fair line

48.9¢

Edge

-17.1¢

Book by book

11 books · Cardinals to win

LowVig.ag

49.1¢

BetOnline.ag

49.1¢

BetUS

49.1¢

Fanatics

48.9¢

Caesars

48.9¢

BetMGM

48.9¢

DraftKings

48.8¢

MyBookie.ag

48.8¢

FanDuel

48.5¢

BetRivers

48.4¢

Bovada

48.0¢

Consensus

48.9¢

Each bar = that book's price with the vig removed · median across books = the fair line

Book by book

DraftKings

FanDuel

BetMGM

Caesars

ESPN Bet

Edge unlocks the book breakdown

See exactly which sportsbook sets each price, so you know where to act.

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What an edge is worth

worked example · Cardinals · Brewers @ Cardinals

Kalshi asks 66¢ for a contract the devigged consensus prices at 48.9¢. Drag to size your position:

$1,5752,386 contracts

$100$25k

If it hits

+$775

If it misses

−$1,575

Expected value

−$444

That's the honest shape of edge trading: no single bet is a lottery ticket, a repeatable few-percent advantage, compounded over volume, is the entire game. The terminal's job is finding you that advantage before it closes.

Expected value ≠ guaranteed outcome · fees approximated · variance is real · not betting advice

Cardinals is priced at 48.9% to win by the devigged consensus, while the Kalshi YES contract asks 66¢, a -17.1¢ gap per contract before fees. Prices move fast, verify at the venue before trading.