MLBSun, Jul 5 · 7:31 PM

Tigers @ Rangers

Pricing the Rangers side, Kalshi contract vs. the devigged sportsbook consensus.

Kalshi ask

49¢

Fair line

47.8¢

Edge

-1.2¢

Book by book

11 books · Rangers to win

FanDuel

48.5¢

MyBookie.ag

48.2¢

DraftKings

47.9¢

Fanatics

47.8¢

Caesars

47.8¢

BetMGM

47.8¢

Bovada

47.8¢

BetOnline.ag

47.8¢

LowVig.ag

47.8¢

BetUS

47.7¢

BetRivers

47.1¢

Consensus

47.8¢

Each bar = that book's price with the vig removed · median across books = the fair line

Book by book

DraftKings

FanDuel

BetMGM

Caesars

ESPN Bet

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See exactly which sportsbook sets each price, so you know where to act.

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What an edge is worth

worked example · Rangers · Tigers @ Rangers

Kalshi asks 49¢ for a contract the devigged consensus prices at 47.8¢. Drag to size your position:

$1,5753,214 contracts

$100$25k

If it hits

+$1,591

If it misses

−$1,575

Expected value

−$87

That's the honest shape of edge trading: no single bet is a lottery ticket, a repeatable few-percent advantage, compounded over volume, is the entire game. The terminal's job is finding you that advantage before it closes.

Expected value ≠ guaranteed outcome · fees approximated · variance is real · not betting advice

Rangers is priced at 47.8% to win by the devigged consensus, while the Kalshi YES contract asks 49¢, a -1.2¢ gap per contract before fees. Prices move fast, verify at the venue before trading.