Friday, October 16, 2026
Today's biggest prediction market edge: Merab Dvalishvili at 41¢
On Friday, October 16, 2026, SportsParity tracked 1 matched markets across 1 sports. The widest gap is on Merab Dvalishvili @ Petr Yan. Kalshi asks 41¢ for Merab Dvalishvili, while devigged sportsbook consensus lands at 38.4¢, a -2.6¢ difference. Nothing crossed today. The venues broadly agree at the extremes. Every figure comes from live data, graded against the closing line. Shown before exchange fees. Not betting advice.
Markets tracked
1
Sports
1
Biggest gap
+-2.6¢
The biggest edges today
Breaking down today's top gaps
UFC: Merab Dvalishvili @ Petr Yan. Kalshi is pricing Merab Dvalishvili at 41¢, while the devigged sportsbook consensus puts fair value at 38.4¢, leaving Kalshi 2.6¢ below the fair line. A modest gap worth watching as the game approaches and the line firms up.
By sport
Widest gap: Merab Dvalishvili at +-2.6¢
How we find the edge
SportsParity finds the gap between prediction markets and sportsbooks. We take the moneyline from a consensus of US sportsbooks, remove the vig to produce a true fair line, and hold that against the live Kalshi price for the same outcome. When Kalshi trades below fair value, there is a positive edge. We express every edge in cents on a 0 to 100 scale, rank them, and grade each flagged edge against the closing line once the game settles. Closing line value, not a cherry-picked win streak, is how we prove an edge was real.
See these live, ranked in real time.
This report is a daily snapshot. The board updates every minute.
Open the live boardGenerated from live market data · edges shown before exchange fees · not betting advice